Bloomberg reports this after reviewing a document titled "Theory of Victory." The publication gained access to the unclassified portion of the document. This document will be presented by the Supreme Allied Commander of NATO's Allied Forces in Europe, General Alexis Gri nkiewicz, on October 12 in Poland amid heightened tensions between the Alliance and Russia. According to informed senior officials and diplomats, the aim of this document is to clarify how the Alliance would cope with a potential invasion of its territory. Recently, there have been many reports that Russia is considering such actions. At the same time, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte recently stated that there are no signs of Russia preparing a traditional attack on the Alliance, but Europe must be ready for prolonged hybrid attacks. Colonel Martin O'Donnell, Gri nkiewicz's spokesperson, declined to discuss the details of the plan but noted that the Alliance is "exclusively defensive." "The Theory of Victory of the Supreme Commander of the Allied Forces in Europe is simple: to maintain NATO's superiority. Given the unstable and complex global security environment, we need to create conditions for deterring aggression and, if necessary, achieving victory in the event of an attack," emphasized O'Donnell. This initiative is intended to reassure the public about NATO's readiness while simultaneously providing a more concrete picture of what lies behind the increase in defense spending. Additionally, according to sources, the document aims to demonstrate to allies how NATO integrates traditional types of weaponry with new capabilities that have emerged since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The goal is also to encourage allies to make more significant investments in the defense sector and to improve training quality. The strategy emphasizes NATO's defensive nature and the need to avoid unintentional provocations. At the same time, it mentions the necessity of collective resistance to hybrid threats as part of deterrence – aggressive actions that do not cross the established thresholds for conflict. The strategy states that by demonstrating readiness, NATO aims for the adversary to conclude that it cannot achieve victory. However, if NATO is attacked, the Alliance will block the invasion using a combination of ground forces and other means as part of the Deterrence Initiative on NATO's eastern flank. The corresponding concept includes the use of inexpensive drones, minimally manned systems, and AI-controlled guidance systems. Having gained freedom of maneuver, further actions will involve attempts to destroy enemy command and control systems to achieve a quick and decisive defeat of Russian forces.
